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Analysis: Gold's New Role Beyond Crisis Hedging

Market Rundown |
2

Housekeeping: Good Morning.

“Begun, the Mineral Wars have. ”

Topics:

  • Gold's New Role Beyond Crisis Hedging

Market Analysis:

Analysis: Gold's New Role Beyond Crisis Hedging

·
Jul 24
Analysis: Gold's New Role Beyond Crisis Hedging

In a reflection of long-term price performance, gold has quietly outpaced the S&P 500 over the past 20 years. This inversion of conventional financial wisdom, where static metal has exceeded the returns of equity-based enterprise, is striking. According to DataTrek, gold’s price return stands at +616%, while the S&P 500 delivered +421% over the same period.
This outcome challenges the embedded assumption that equities, as vehicles of productivity and innovation, should outperform inert stores of value.

The past 20 years can be broken into 3 performance eras.

  • Between 2005 and 2014, a crisis era.

  • From 2015 to 2019 could be called a goldilocks era for stocks

  • The Post-2020 era

Post 2020 is most interesting in that it represents a break from historical patterns. While gold has traditionally excelled during volatility, it is now showing strength even when equities are stable. central bank demand is the manifestation of old, gold  functioning both as a hedge and as an alternative reserve asset in a shifting global financial order. 

Full analysis in Premium Post: Gold’s New Role Beyond Crisis Hedging


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Data on Deck: Powell speaks

  • MONDAY, JULY 21 U.S. leading economic indicators

  • TUESDAY, JULY 22 8:30 am Fed Chair remarks at banking conference

  • WEDNESDAY, JULY 23 Existing home sales

  • THURSDAY, JULY 24 PMI, New home sales

  • FRIDAY, JULY 25 Durable Goods

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