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Analysis: Gold’s Pricing Implies Treasuries Are Junk

Analysis: Gold’s Pricing Implies Treasuries Are Junk

Why Gold Is Replacing Treasuries in Reserve Portfolios

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VBL
Jun 03, 2025
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Analysis: Gold’s Pricing Implies Treasuries Are Junk
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Why Gold Is Replacing Treasuries in Reserve Portfolios

SEB (Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken), is a leading financial services group in Northern Europe. They published an interesting (if aggressive) comment on Gold vs Treasuries. Here is that analysis broken down with their original comments attached.

Contents

  1. The End of a Longstanding Correlation

  2. Treasuries Now Carry Political Risk

  3. Quantifying the Risk: A 5% Political Discount

  4. Gold’s Implied Risk Premium Is 5.7%

  5. Strategic Drivers Ahead: US–China Conflict, Powell’s Successor

  6. Gold as Core, Treasuries as Conditional

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