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Geopol: Japan's View on US-China War Risk

Geopol: Japan's View on US-China War Risk

Japanese scholars attempt to influence US defense strategy and prevent the ultimate showdown, likely a futile outcry

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VBL
Jun 04, 2025
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The China - US War Prevention Through Japan’s Lens

In a recent interview, Hudson Institute’s Japan Chair Masashi Murano elaborated on a lot of long-standing concerns and answered some important questions. It caught our attention because (1) his new Japanese-language book Preventing a US-China War provides an inside look at the deterrence landscape in the Indo-Pacific, the future of US-Japan cooperation, and China’s preparations for war, and (2) the timing of the publish.


It is known that many books of similar domain interests have been published, but this one marks a shift in the national security mindset of Japan’s elites that had begun years ago but only become more noticeable recently. From an Asian point of view, America’s strategic repositioning around the first island chain was a direct function of China’s increasing military capabilities in both quality and quantity and had already begun during the Biden admin.

US Force Redeployment from First Island Chain Bases (2022 to date):

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