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Gold is $600 Higher Than Last Time Oil was $90

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A worse oil shock than in the 1970s?

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Apr 19
A worse oil shock than in the 1970s?

Commerzbank says the current Iran-driven energy shock is historically large, with oil supply down roughly 12%, exceeding past crises. However, economic damage may be smaller than the 1970s due to lower oil intensity and strategic reserves. Risks remain from prolonged disruptions, natural gas shocks, and supply chain breakdowns.

BOA: Oil Futures are way too Cheap

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Apr 17
BOA: Oil Futures are way too Cheap

Oil markets are deeply mispriced. While futures imply a swift normalization after the Iran disruption, physical markets show extreme scarcity, record backwardation, and collapsing inventories. Bank of America argues supply recovery will take months, forcing demand rationing and higher prices, with current forward curves leaving little margin for error in pricing reality.


News & Analysis:

In Another Blow to USD, UAE Threatens to Abandon Peg for Yuan Trades

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Apr 20
In Another Blow to USD, UAE Threatens to Abandon Peg for Yuan Trades

The UAE has approached the United States for emergency dollar liquidity via potential swap lines as Iran-related tensions threaten oil flows and financial stability. Officials signaled that without reliable dollar access, the country may be forced to settle some oil trade in yuan, introducing pressure on the dollar’s dominance in global energy markets.


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Data on Deck:

  • MONDAY, APRIL 20 None scheduled

  • TUESDAY, APRIL 218:30 am U.S. retail sales

  • WEDNESDAY, APRIL 22 None scheduled

  • THURSDAY, APRIL 23 S&P flash PMI

  • FRIDAY, APRIL 24 Consumer sentiment (final)April47.6

GoldFix Members: Exclusive Bullion Pricing Now Available

·
Mar 15
GoldFix Members: Exclusive Bullion Pricing Now Available

GoldFix has partnered with Battalion Metals to give our community direct access to institutional-grade physical bullion at exclusive member pricing. Through this partnership, GoldFix members can purchase gold and silver products at pricing typically about 100 basis points below prevailing dealer rates,

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