Contents
Lindy’s Law as a Survival Heuristic
Buffett’s Moat and Lindy’s Filter
Monetary Assets as Coordination Technologies
Gold and the Lindy Curve
Fiat’s Shorter Lindy Tail—
Crypto and Engineered Durability
Tether’s Portfolio Signal
Lindy’s Law as a Survival Heuristic
Lindy’s Law1 is not an investment framework in the conventional sense. It does not forecast returns, optimize portfolios, or estimate forward earnings. It is a survival heuristic. It is empirical rather than philosophical or theoretical. In its simplest form, Lindy’s Law observes that for certain non-perishable things such as technologies, institutions, and monetary goods, their expected remaining lifespan increases with the time they have already survived.



