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Sunday Options Masterclass #1

CFTC CoT Analysis at Bottom

Core Takeaways

  • Every complex option structure is built from butterfly components

  • Options are modular, like Legos

  • Butterfly = largest coherent structure

  • Requires precision, not just direction

  • Balances cost, risk, and probability

I. Teaching Framework

  • Different learning styles:

    • Abstract (numbers first)

    • Visual (graphs)

    • Hybrid (spreadsheet + structure)

  • Target audience:

    • Adults with basic options knowledge

    • Can do math

    • Want application, not definitions

    Goal:
    Understand how option structures evolve logically from a simple bullish view.


II. Starting Point: Bullish on Gold at $5,000

A. Long Future / Long Stock

  • Linear P&L

  • +$1 for every $1 up

  • −$1 for every $1 down

  • Unlimited upside

  • Unlimited downside

Key Concept: Pure directional exposure.


III. Reducing Risk: Long Call

  • Buy $5,000 call

  • Downside limited to premium paid

  • Break-even above strike + premium

  • Retains unlimited upside

Trade-off:

  • Defined risk

  • Requires capital outlay

  • Needs move beyond break-even


IV. Reducing Cost: Call Spread

  • Buy $5,000 call

  • Sell $5,200 call

  • Lower premium outlay

  • Profit capped above $5,200

Trade-off:

  • Sacrifice unlimited upside

  • Cheaper structure

  • More efficient if target is defined


V. Increasing Premium: Ratio Call Spread

  • Buy 1 $5,000 call

  • Sell 2 $5,200 calls

  • Collect more premium

  • Max profit near $5,200

  • Unlimited risk above

Reality Check:

  • Margin intensive

  • Risk accelerates above short strike

  • Clearing firm constraints


VI. Containing Risk: Creating the Butterfly

  • Buy $5,000 call

  • Sell 2 $5,200 calls

  • Buy $5,400 call

Structure:

  • Long wings

  • Short body

P&L Characteristics:

  • Defined risk

  • Max profit at $5,200

  • No unlimited exposure

  • Profits confined to range


VII. When to Use a Butterfly

A. Before the Move

  • Strong belief market settles near a precise target

B. During a Trade

  • Long call already profitable

  • Market reaches target zone

  • Convert position into defined-risk structure


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