GoldFix

GoldFix

Goldman Re-Raises to $3,700 with Views of $4,500

The Bank has upgraded its 2025 year-end gold forecast reflecting what it sees as a structural realignment of demand across three axes

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VBL
Apr 15, 2025
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Summary

Goldman Sachs has upgraded its 2025 year-end gold forecast from $3,300 to $3,700 per troy ounce, reflecting what it sees as a structural realignment of demand across three axes:

  • central bank accumulation,

  • ETF inflows linked to rising recession probability,

  • and investor positioning driven by macro volatility.

The Bank’s re-raise results in a material upward revision with surprises for several of those factors assessed in isolation as well as one low probability but plausible tail risk scenario that combines all three in a perfect storm1

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