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Preview

Beware: Bullion Banks Out of The Penalty Box

CFTC Sunday Founders Discussion

Outline:

1. Introduction and Context

  • Market Sentiment:

    • Not bullish or bearish but neutral amidst changing behaviors.

    • Bullion banks are active again, joined by producers selling.


2. Key Topics for Analysis

  • Short Squeeze from Trump Tariff Rumors:

    • Market dismissed the alleged short squeeze as unfounded.

    • Implications for positioning and strategy.

  • Upcoming Interviews and Industry Insights:

    • Planned discussions with notable figures (e.g., Michael Oliver, Brynne Kelly).

    • Topics include gold market trends, oil insights, and equity strategies.


3. Behavioral Analysis: Weekly Market Activity

  • Open Interest and Price Trends (Last Week):

    • Red arrows denote five trading days analyzed in the chart.

    • Weekly movement summary:

      • Day 1: Market marginally up as new longs bought from new shorts (+6,800 contracts).

      • Day 2: Market down with new shorts entering

      • Day 3: Spinning top day, balance between longs and shorts.

      • Days 4-5: Upward movement driven by speculative fund buying and bank selling.

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