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Founding Member episode

The full episode is only available to Founding Member subscribers

**Founders: The Definitive Silver Update

Must Read, Must Watch

Housekeeping: Good Morning.

**Founders can ignore the Premium version of this post when it is sent later. You have the full analysis including PDF right here**

BW3 is a Process, Not an Event.

Today:

  • Premium: Silver

  • Commentary: Charts, News


Markets Yesterday:

US equity futures are in the green after Friday’s rally


Premium/Markets:

  1. Silver’s Rally Monday

  2. The Shanghai Connection

  3. Michael Oliver’s Silver Comment

Silver’s Rally Monday Macro Discretionary Enters the Chat

The Shanghai Connection- what it means

Banks are playing, CFTC data is only 1/2 the story, and a war of spoofing has commenced. ( it aint spoofing if you don’t get caught)

Silver:

  • SFE is over Comex- why it persists

  • SGE is over SFE- what it means

  • Comex: What to look for (spreads/ EFP)

  • Convergence how

Gold:

  • SFE is over Comex

  • SGE is under SFE- what it means

  • Comex- what to not look for

  • Convergence how

Focus: SILVER by Michael Oliver

If you panicked at each drop, including the genuine correction in January 2011, you’d likely have missed the massive acceleration portion of this multi-year bull trend (from 2001 to 2011): $20 to $50 in three quarters.

MSA is monitoring for something meaningful in terms of correction, but it hasn’t developed, nor do we expect it to for a couple months.

5% in one day, 8.5% drop in six days, 5% drop in three days, 15% drop in five days, 5% drop in three days, 9% drop in two days, 16% drop involving a month17.7% drop in two days, 8.7% drop in six days, 5.5% drop in two days

He goes on to Define the onset of something worth calling a “correction” and much more at bottom

Market News:

China's smartphone market saw a 2% growth in sales Q1. Sales of foldable phones +48% Y/Y. Huawei rose to the top spot for the first time in quarterly global shipments, surpassing Samsung, according to Counterpoint Research. China iPhone shipments jump 52% in April.

UBS Global Research raises 2024 year-end S&P500 target to 5600 (prev. target 5400, current 5304)

Geopolitics:

  • Israeli tanks have reached Rafah city centre, according to Reuters witnesses

  • "Israeli media: Leaders of Israeli opposition parties will discuss tomorrow the formation of an alternative government and the ouster of Netanyahu", according to Sky News Arabia.

  • China is conducting more military exercises, The West is now pushing back on the Isrealis strikes in Rafah as civilian tolls are rising.

Some headlines via NewSquawk or DataTrek


Data on Deck: GDP, PCE Week

  • MONDAY, MAY 27 Memorial Day

  • TUESDAY, MAY 28 speakers and 10:00 am Consumer confidence

  • WEDNESDAY, MAY 29 2:00 pm Fed Beige Book

  • THURSDAY, MAY 30 8:30 am GDP + +

  • FRIDAY, MAY 31 8:30 am PCE index April 2


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GoldFix
GoldFix
Capital markets recap, commentary, and analysis for evolving traders