Housekeeping: Good Morning.
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BW3 is a Process, Not an Event.
Today:
Premium: Silver
Commentary: Charts, News
Markets Yesterday:
US equity futures are in the green after Friday’s rally
Premium/Markets:
Silver’s Rally Monday
The Shanghai Connection
Michael Oliver’s Silver Comment
Silver’s Rally Monday Macro Discretionary Enters the Chat
The Shanghai Connection- what it means
Silver:
SFE is over Comex- why it persists
SGE is over SFE- what it means
Comex: What to look for (spreads/ EFP)
Convergence how
Gold:
SFE is over Comex
SGE is under SFE- what it means
Comex- what to not look for
Convergence how
Focus: SILVER by Michael Oliver
If you panicked at each drop, including the genuine correction in January 2011, you’d likely have missed the massive acceleration portion of this multi-year bull trend (from 2001 to 2011): $20 to $50 in three quarters.
5% in one day, 8.5% drop in six days, 5% drop in three days, 15% drop in five days, 5% drop in three days, 9% drop in two days, 16% drop involving a month17.7% drop in two days, 8.7% drop in six days, 5.5% drop in two days
He goes on to Define the onset of something worth calling a “correction” and much more at bottom
Market News:
China's smartphone market saw a 2% growth in sales Q1. Sales of foldable phones +48% Y/Y. Huawei rose to the top spot for the first time in quarterly global shipments, surpassing Samsung, according to Counterpoint Research. China iPhone shipments jump 52% in April.
UBS Global Research raises 2024 year-end S&P500 target to 5600 (prev. target 5400, current 5304)
Geopolitics:
Israeli tanks have reached Rafah city centre, according to Reuters witnesses
"Israeli media: Leaders of Israeli opposition parties will discuss tomorrow the formation of an alternative government and the ouster of Netanyahu", according to Sky News Arabia.
China is conducting more military exercises, The West is now pushing back on the Isrealis strikes in Rafah as civilian tolls are rising.
Some headlines via NewSquawk or DataTrek
Data on Deck: GDP, PCE Week
MONDAY, MAY 27 Memorial Day
TUESDAY, MAY 28 speakers and 10:00 am Consumer confidence
WEDNESDAY, MAY 29 2:00 pm Fed Beige Book
THURSDAY, MAY 30 8:30 am GDP + +
FRIDAY, MAY 31 8:30 am PCE index April 2
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