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MARKETS: Silver Selling Capitulation Watch Begins

GoldFix Podcast

Housekeeping: Good Morning.


Powell’s Plan, Silver Capitulation, China Gold Buying, China Americanizes its markets


Video Contents

  1. Current Prices

  2. Yesterday’s Activity

  3. Data Due

  4. News

  5. Markets/Metals Commentary

  6. Market Gameplan

  7. Attached: UBS (Gold), MSA overview, Goldman on Powell


Yesterday’s Activity:

Powell’s Plan is to not get in the way
  • Precious Metals- down on strong econ data.. small bounce

  • Oil-

  • US equities- start weak, finish strong

  • Bonds- weak

  • DX- strong

  • Crypto- indifferent


Week’s Data:

  • MONDAY, FEB. 5 9:45 am S&P final U.S. services PMI Jan. 52.5 -- 52.9

  • TUESDAY, FEB. 6 Fed speakers all day

  • WEDNESDAY, FEB. 7 More speakers, Consumer credit

  • THURSDAY, FEB. 8 8:30 am Initial jobless claims

  • FRIDAY, FEB. 9 8:30 am CPI seasonal factor revisions

Full calendar1


News:

News Links here

NOTABLE HEADLINES

  • China's securities regulator said it encourages listed firms to buy back more shares to inject more capital into the A-share market and make every effort to maintain stable market operations, while it will guide institutional investors to increase stock investment. 

  • Chinese President Xi is set to discuss China's stock market with regulators.

  • Chinese sovereign wealth fund CIC's unit Central Huijin said it fully recognises A-shares' allocation value and increased ETF holdings recently, while it will continue to increase holding size, according to Bloomberg.

  • US President Biden's administration sent five senior Treasury officials to Beijing this week for economic talks including on subsidies and China's "non-market" policies that are ending excess industrial capacity, according to a Treasury official cited by Reuters.

  • BoJ is on track for a policy shift by April, via Reuters citing sources; assisted by wage outlook. Piece adds that the BoJ is laying the groundwork to end NIRP by April and overhaul other policy framework areas, but likely to go slow on subsequent action

GEOPOLITICS

  • US Central Command said its forces conducted a strike in self-defence against two Houthi explosive uncrewed surface vehicles, according to Reuters.

  • Yemen's Houthis says they targets one US and one British ship with naval missiles, via group's spokesperson

Some headlines via NewSquawk


Market Gameplan (Charts):

  • Gold- MSA levels, oscillators, China buying filled.. will there be more, channel formation….more to say about it after studying the CTA flows

  • Silver- more shorts will pile in

  • Oil- B-Band levels

  • Stocks- no feel..

  • BTC/ETH-

  • Bonds - shitty for a reason… buy gold, sell bonds for long term

Attached:

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GoldFix
GoldFix
Capital markets recap, commentary, and analysis for evolving traders