Housekeeping: Good Morning. Today Vince will sit with Chris Marcus and Matt Riley to discuss the BRICS Summit
“The Gold reset is a process, not an event”
Today:
Discussion: Silver Tsunami: Why it Can Continue
Analysis: The China/US Tsunami Manifests
Silver Tsunami: Why it Can Continue
Discussion: Silver Tsunami: Why it Can Continue
CHINA HELICOPTER CREDIT
US DOLLAR CRUSH
CHINA HELICOPTER CREDIT
China’s fiscal policies are designed to help households and Stocks
The fallout will be freed up cash everywhere and impulsive buying of what went up last time.
This coincides with The China Hunt brother stepping into Silver again
Bank traders covered shorts aggressively last week before the run up.. They saw something that got them spooked
Conclusion: 1) China needs its people to invest in themselves and they are doing that; 2) China needs to find a home for the goods it manufactures, and they will do that next
2- US DOLLAR CRUSH
Politically pressured rate cut prior to election to get it out of the way before the actual election itself
Reduced interest expense to more manageable levels
Began to knock real rates down which is bullish for stocks, Gold, Silver and bearish for long term bonds.
As they lower Fed Funds rates in the short end, essentially giving up on fighting inflation with high rates, inflation will seek another way to manifest financially by taking all assets that are real higher, along with stocks, while simultaneously making it a very bad idea to own long term bonds.
The Tsunami is just getting started
News/Analysis:
Equity Recap:
US stocks traded with a mostly positive bias on Friday in which the S&P 500 and the DJIA printed fresh record closes albeit with price action somewhat choppy as earnings remained in the spotlight.
Market News: Transitory Returns
Fed's Bostic (2024 Voter) said on Friday that they need to move the policy rate because risks shifted and the neutral policy rate is in the 3.00-3.50% range. Furthermore, Bostic suggested there is no rush to get to neutral and will be patient, while he expects to get to 2% inflation near the end of 2025.
IAM union said regarding negotiations with Boeing (BA) that the latest proposal includes a 35% general wage increase spread over 4 years and that Boeing workers will receive a one-time ratification bonus of USD 7,000, according to Reuters.
Boeing is exploring asset sales that could bring in much-needed cash while shedding non-core underperforming units and reached a deal to offload a small defence subsidiary that makes surveillance equipment for the US military, according to WSJ
Politics/Geopolitics: Israel Can’t Win a 4 front War
Israeli PM Netanyahu said a drone attack which targeted his home in northern Israel was a "grave mistake", while he and his family were not at their house when the drone attack struck on Saturday and there were no casualties.
Israeli PM Netanyahu spoke with former US President Trump and told him that Israel considers the issues the US administration raises but will make decisions based on its national interests.
Hezbollah announced it conducted a rocket barrage at Beit Hillel base, while it was separately reported that Iraqi armed factions announced the targeting of an Israeli military site in the Golan with drones.
US House Speaker Johnson said on Sunday that there would be a classified briefing related to leaked US intelligence on Israel-Iran, according to Reuters.
Ukrainian President Zelensky thanked countries that 'do not close their eyes' to North Korean involvement in Ukraine's war with Russia and seeks a normal, honest and strong reaction from them, according to Reuters.
*Some headlines courtesy DataTrek and Newsquawk
Data on Deck:
MONDAY, OCT 21 8:55 U.S. leading economic indicators- Fed Speakers
TUESDAY, OCT. 22 Fed President Harker speaks
WEDNESDAY, OCT. 23 Existing home sales
THURSDAY, OCT. 24 PMI Oct New home sales
FRIDAY, OCT. 25 8:30 am Durable-goods orders
*FINAL MARKET CHECK
