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Gold: The Most Bullish Analysis by a Bearish Bank Ever

One Bank's Definitive Road Map for 2024 and Beyond

Housekeeping: Good Morning. Discussion with Chris Marcus at 1 p.m. about what the BRICS are up to in their quest for dollar independence. Tune in for that. That video will also be posted here, all access tomorrow.

Michael Oliver’s MSA Report has an important technical divergence in Gold and Silver worth looking into that should resolve with the whole complex trading higher over the next few months if it plays out as he sees. We touch on that here.

Finally, and significantly, we just received a Bullion bank’s gold report that frankly was surprising in its tactical insights and price outlook. We will touch on that here as a preview for a full analysis tomorrow.

The Sunday Founders Discussion will be emailed today. Some advanced discussion on Gold options flows


Israeli PM Netanyahu said Hamas's demands in negotiations are delusional and they will keep fighting until their goals are achieved.


Contents

  1. Current Prices

  2. Yesterday’s Activity

  3. Data Due

  4. News

  5. Markets/Metals Commentary

  6. Attached:



Yesterday’s Activity:

  • Precious Metals- Gold rallied bolstered by Silver which ripped higher on CTA short covering above a significant technical level for some

  • Oil- Strong, not surprising given the ME developments

  • US equities- undid all of Thursday’s gains.. cracks in the Tech sector

  • Bonds- started very weak, but recovered even as stocks weakened.

  • DX- started strong, finished weak. not a driver of PMs

  • Crypto- Friday strong but not parabolic after Thursdays massive recovery. Might be a little tired here. Stock types may be weighing on it a tad.


Week’s Data:

  • MONDAY, FEB. 19 None scheduled, President's Day holiday

  • TUESDAY, FEB. 20 10:00 am U.S. leading economic indicators Jan. -0.1%

  • WEDNESDAY, FEB. 21 2:00 pm Minutes of Fed's January FOMC meeting

  • THURSDAY, FEB. 22 Jobless claims, PMI Feb.

  • FRIDAY, FEB. 23 None scheduled

Full calendar1


News:

News Links HERE

NOTABLE HEADLINES

  • Fed's Daly (voter) said on Friday there is more work to do on inflation and "remarkable progress" on inflation is not victory, while she added the Fed needs to resist the temptation to act quickly when patience is needed. Daly said none of the recent data was surprising and are within bounds of recent volatility,

  • WSJ Timiraos wrote on Friday that "The core PCE index in January is likely to have risen 0.4%, the largest increase in a year, according to the forecasters who translate the CPI and PPI into the PCE. That would hold the 12-month rate steady at 2.9%".

GEOPOLITICS

  • Israeli PM Netanyahu said Hamas's demands in negotiations are delusional and they will keep fighting until their goals are achieved.

  • Israel's cabinet unanimously approved a motion rejecting international calls for a permanent settlement with the Palestinians including the unilateral recognition of a Palestinian state, according to FT.

  • More below2

Some headlines via NewSquawk


Markets/Metals Commentary (Charts):

  • Gold-

  • Silver-

  • Oil

  • Stocks

  • BTC/ETH

  • Bonds

Attached:

MSA Silver Excerpt

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GoldFix
GoldFix
Capital markets recap, commentary, and analysis for evolving traders